On Tuesday, radio ratings connoisseur Mike Felger dropped this whopper as it pertains to Mike Trout and the Red Sox:
The best part of the clip comes right in the middle, when Felger rattles off the reasons his slippery source believes a blockbuster trade of this magnitude is possible. All are significant enough for a bullet point:
- The Red Sox think Trout’s a better leader than Bregman
- He’ll hit a bunch of home runs at Fenway Park
- The Angels like Jarren Duran and Brayan Bello
That first point is a massive peek behind the curtain into the Civil War between Alex Cora’s people and Craig Breslow’s people. If you’re like me, and you believe that Alex Cora drove both Bregman pursuits, the comparison between Bregman and Trout as leaders should get your antenna up.
When Felger mentions this nugget, he’s reading from his source, meaning somebody went out of their way to make that comparison. Is it possible they’re plugged into the Breslow side of the operation and those guys aren’t pleased they had to bend to Cora’s way of thinking for a year and a half on that front? Remember, the Red Sox were on the verge of trading for Nolan Arenado in February of 2025 when John Henry swooped in at the last moment with his cigar and ponied up the funds for Bregman. Could this have been a Cora victory over Breslow that some in the organization still aren’t happy about?
But before I get lost down that wormhole, I want to turn back and address bullet point No. 3, because that’s the one directly tied to the money, which is what really matters here.
If the Angels really are interested in Jarren Duran and Brayan Bello, then we’re well on our way to a match because those are guys with limited surplus value going forward. You need guys like this in play because the immediate issue with any Trout trade talk is the enormous negative value that comes attached with his contract. He’s getting paid $37.1 million per year all the way through the end of 2030, which means there’s about $175 million to go prorated out as of mid May 2026.
Now consider that Mike Trout’s games played over the last five seasons look like this:
2021: 36
2022: 119
2023: 82
2024: 29
2025: 130
YIKES!
In short, any deal involving Mike Trout is going to require the Angels picking up a hefty portion of his remaining contract. It’s just a matter of how much. But additionally, it’s also one of the reasons the Angels may be motivated to move Trout right now. His hot start in 2026 could easily be their last best chance to get out from under the final few seasons of his mammoth deal, which again, kind of gives the timing of this rumor legs. (The Angels having the worst record in baseball at 16-28 and just a 1.3% chance to make the playoffs according to Fangraphs should also get conversations moving.)
It gets even better, though, when you consider the Red Sox have Masataka Yoshida on their books. He not only represents dead money in the short-term, but he also happens to be one of the five players in the current outfield / DH logjam that’s making Breslow look like a fool on a daily basis. And the fact that we’re talking about the short-term here is key, as the Angels would be more likely to take on some of that deal, while Craig Breslow needs to get rid of it to improve his job security.
In other words, Yoshida represents the possibility to cut into how much money the Angels have to eat in a complex deal. And interestingly enough, the framework of this type of exchange has history. In 2015, when the Blue Jays traded for Troy Tulowitzki, all of the following factors were in play:
- The Blue Jays were getting an injury prone superstar with five more years left on his contract.
- Toronto demanded the Rockies take back Jose Reyes in the deal because he was dead money and that was going to offset some of Tulowitzki’s contract the Rockies didn’t want to pay. (Sound familiar?)
- The 2015 Blue Jays were severely underachieving (under .500 into July) before the Tulowitzki trade helped them catch fire and win 93 games (and the AL East).
- The 2015 Blue Jays were run by Alex Anthopoulos, who, like Craig Breslow, had his job on the line and needed to make a big splash to shake things up. He went after the waning superstar player who had spent his entire career in one organization, and it turned out to be a spark that helped Toronto go to the ALCS in back to back seasons.
So against that backdrop, let’s take Duran’s money, Bello’s money, and Yoshida’s money and compare it to Trout’s year by year. For the table below, I assumed a salary for Duran of $10 million in 2027 and $13 million in 2028. We don’t know those exact figures yet because of how the MLB arbitration process works, but we have to put some sort of ballpark figures in there for the exercise to work.
Anyway, here they are added up and then compared to Trout’s total each year:
For the first three years, we’re really, really close! You’re only talking a difference of about $12 million total between now and the end of 2028, which, when you’re dealing with a mega contract like Trout’s, is peanuts.
I have no idea if Felger’s source is legit, but I can tell you this much: When you add Yoshida to the conversation, they got the math right. All of this is to say, I don’t think they’re totally pulling this rumor from their rear end.
But of course, even if they’re not, there are so many other hurdles to jump through on a project like this. The Tulowitzki deal referenced above took months of discussions before the sides aligned. Any potential Trout deal would still need to iron out the money in 2029 and 2030, the exact mix of secondary players, and the fact that Trout — unlike Tulowitzki — has a no-trade clause in place.
But while we’re this deep down the rabbit hole, it’s worth it to take a moment to dream. Jumping back up to that second bullet point in Felger’s clip, Trout would indeed hit a bunch of home runs at Fenway Park. Despite those ugly games played numbers over the last handful of years, if you extrapolate out Trout’s home run totals since the start of 2020 (130 in 491 games), they average out to 43 over 162 games. He’s exactly the the type of big right-handed stick the Sox need in the middle of this lineup.
Also, take a look at these spray charts below from Fangraphs. Trout’s renaissance in 2026 has come with increased slugging to the pull side, which makes me extra curious as to how Felger’s source phrased “he will hit a bunch of home runs at Fenway Park.” Are they referring to his spray chart in 2026 in addition to his raw power? Almost all of Trout’s extra base hits in 2026 have gone to the pull side whereas he’s been more of an all fields power guy throughout his career. Here’s just 2026 compared to the last five years mixed together.
There are also other benefits to a theoretical Trout trade, including how it completely fixes the outfield / DH logjam overnight. Instead of figuring out how you get Wilyer Abreu, Roman Anthony, Jarren Duran and Masataka Yoshida all in the lineup from the left side, you all of a sudden have four guys in Trout, Abreu, Anthony and Rafaela who fit perfectly into the three outfield / one DH arrangement, and all of them are under your control for the rest of the decade.
Two guys batting from the right side, two guys batting from the left side, and Trout can spend more time at DH, which will probably help prolong his career at this stage.
Then there’s the lineup. Can you imagine some combination of Anthony, Trout, Abreu and Contreras batting in the top four slots of the lineup each night? I’m sorry, but opening the first inning with Roman Anthony and Mike Trout every game would be the biggest asses-in-seats move this franchise has made this decade.
Additionally, I also believe that if Trout moves somewhere, his new team is going to to see a bump in his production. Remember how, over the last couple of offseasons, much of the fanbase bemoaned the idea of Nolan Arenado possibly coming to Boston because he bat is cooked? Well, since moving to Arizona, Nolan Arenado is hitting .274 with a .781 OPS. Both are his highest marks in four years. (He also hit a clutch double for the D-Backs in the ninth inning last night and continues to contribute in key spots.)
The point here is that both guys are veterans closer to the end than the beginning who have never seen deep playoff success. They’re going to be some of the hungriest guys in the league if you put them in an environment where they have a real chance to win.
Lastly, from a pure theater perspective, how awesome would it be to have Mike Trout and Aaron Judge in the same division on the Red Sox and Yankees? You’re talking about two of the greatest right handed hitters of all time who are both 34-years-old and have each never won a World Series. The sense of legacy altering urgency on the line for both guys would inject something deeply significant into the rivalry.
And at the end of the day, this is really the magic of a Mike Trout trade fantasy. It allows John Henry and the Red Sox to move the needle with real, palpable buzz in ratings, tickets sales, and team interest while not having to part ways with any of the high upside, young whippersnappers fans are already growing quite fond of here. It’s just a matter of figuring out if this is one of those times to pull the trigger in the real world when the formula in the spreadsheet says you shouldn’t.
